In Italy, Ferrari convincingly locked out the front row. But for Vettel's clumsy first lap move on Hamilton, Vettel could've gone on to win that race. The inherent pace was there. Despite having a damaged car, Vettel was still very fast.
"
when I touched Lewis, I span around and that was unfortunate, as my car got quite some damages. It could have gone differently, but obviously it wasn’t the case. Unfortunately, our race was compromised and it was a shame, but then I tried to do my best and had a decent recovery from the back. All in all, it could have been even worse. It’s disappointing of course, because we had the pace and we definitely could have won.
" (Vettel)
There was nothing in that race to suggest the W09 was faster than the SF71H. That fact that Hamilton was stuck behind Raik for so many laps indicates what good pace there was in the SF71H.
No, the SF71H didn't chew through its tyres. The fault lay with Kimi, not the car. To avoid Hamilton potentially overcutting, Kimi simply pushed too hard, too soon and destroyed his fresh tyres. It's explained here:
"
After his pitstop, he had had to push harder and longer than he would have liked on fresh soft tyres to ensure Lewis Hamilton could not overcut him.
The combination of that, plus being trapped behind Valtteri Bottas, which meant his car was losing downforce and sliding more, ultimately triggered the blistering problems that proved so costly......it is clear that if you push from lap one when the tyre is new, you have more rubber and you exacerbate the effect.."
https://www.eurosport.co.uk/formula-...54/story.shtml
Monza should have been a Ferrari win. For Hamilton to win, it took a bold move on the first lap, Raik to wear down his own tyres, and Bottas' help.
I have not seen one reputable analysis that states Merc was quicker than Ferrari in Italy. AMus, RaceFans, Mark Hughes, Autosport etc--they all conclude Ferrari was the overall car to beat in Monza.
I agree with you regarding Russia, Japan & Singapore. Mercedes was overall better in that trio. Blamed on Ferrari's ill-fated upgrades (used for those 3 races only).
Brazil. I'm not sure i agree that "Ferrari was nowhere". There was less than a 10th separating Hamilton & Vettel in Q3, with Vettel making a small error. Did that error cost him pole? And in race trim, Vettel was slow because of a sensor problem, while Hamilton was also nursing an engine issue. So neither driver could demonstrate their true pace so how do we know who had the inherently quicker car?. Without Verstappen crashing with Ocon, Hamilton would not have won that race.
For me, Ferrari had an overall quicker car than Merc in:
China, Baku,Monaco, Canada, Germany, Hungary, Belgium, Italy & Mexico
Merc had an overall quicker car than Ferrari in:
Australia, Spain, GB, France, Austria,Singapore, Russia, Japan, Abu Dhabi
Too close to call:
Bahrain, Brazil & USA.
The cars were more or less even,with Vettel having the superior reliability.
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