Singapore: practice time relevance

[CDN-fan]

No calculations this time...

Is there any relationship between practice times, qualifying times, and podium results?
Well, last year the top 5 finishers were pretty much the top 5 at all times.
For 2 of the years, practice 1 results predicted the qualifying group quite well, and for the other 2 years, it was not clear until practice 3.
The winner is from pole in all of the non-crashgate years, while 2nd and 3rd podium has some starting flexibility.
Another good qualifying predictor is a driver staying in the top 5 of both practice 1 and practice 2.

2011:
Podium: 1-Vet, 2-But, 3-Web, 4-Alo, 5-Ham
Qualify: 1-Vet, 2-Web, 3-But, 4-Ham, 5-Alo
Pract3: 1-Web, 2-But, 3-Vet, 4-Alo, 5-Ham
Pract2: 1-Vet, 2-Alo, 3-Ham, 5-Web, 10-But
Pract1: 1-Ham, 2-Vet, 3-Web, 4-Alo, 5-But

2010:
Podium: 1-Alo, 2-Vet, 3-Web, dnf-Ham
Qualify: 1-Alo, 2-Vet, 3-Ham, 5-Web
Pract3: 1-Vet, 2-Alo, 3-Ham, 6-Web
Pract2: 1-Vet, 2-Web, 3-But, 4-Alo, 5-Ham
Pract1: 1-Web, 2-MSc, 3-Sut, 4-Vet, 11-Alo, 18-Ham

2009:
Podium: 1-Ham, 2-Glo, 3-Alo, 4-Vet, 11-Ros
Qualify: 1-Ham, 2-Vet, 3-Ros, 6-Glo, 7-Alo
Pract3: 1-Ham, 2-Vet, 3-Ros, 8-Glo, 15-Alo
Pract2: 1-Vet, 2-Alo, 3-Kov, 7-Ros, 8-Glo, 9-Ham
Pract1: 1-Bar, 2-But, 3-Web, 4-Alo, 5-Vet, 7-Ham, 11-Ros, 15-Glo

2008:
Podium: ok, ok, ok.
Qualify: 1-Mas, 2-Ham, 3-Rai, 15-Alo (did not set a time)
Pract3: 1-Alo, 2-Ham, 3-Mas, 17-Rai
Pract2: 1-Alo, 2-Ham, 3-Mas, 7-Rai
Pract1: 1-Ham, 2-Mas, 3-Rai, 7-Alo

[Kingdom Hearts]

ALO stats in this track are fantastic, even if you remove the crashgate win.

[killer]

Yeah should be good odds for us given Fernando's record at Singapore and with the updated car. Felipe's shown he's no slouch around there either. Here's to hoping for a dominant weekend for Ferrari.

[CDN-fan]

OK,
Practice 1, the top 6:
Vet, Ham, But, Alo, Mal, Web

So if previous races are useful predictors:
- if the same 6 are at the top of practice 2, then 1 of them will win.
- if there is a different group in the top 6, then practice 3 will be the better predictor.

[CDN-fan]

Hmmm. 30 minutes into practice #2, and the same 6 are at the top again.
Let's see if this holds up. The good news would be that Alo is in that group at this time.

[CDN-fan]

Ok, it's the the top 5 drivers from practice 2 who were in the top 6 in practice 1.
This looks similar to 2008, and 2011.
This is the first year that the same driver was 1st in both practice 1 and practice 2.
These 5 drivers were the top 5 in 2011 practice 1, practice 3, qualifying, and finishing.

So highly likely the podium will come from Vet, But, Alo, Web, or Ham.

[SoumyaBanerjee]

Yup,its the same chaps from the top 2 teams and a true champion in a dud of a car bringing up the rear....