Tony Jardine: My money on Alonso
From the fast flow of low heat China to the intense heat of the Sakir desert and it's tighter turns, Formula One's teams have just days to prepare themselves for this weekend's Bahrain Grand Prix.
Central to the plot just one week after China are the tyres.
For this Gulf island track, Pirelli are bringing the hard and medium compounds - both of which have to be used in the race.
Rear tyres as opposed to the fronts are under pressure here, as are the brakes and cooling of both cars and drivers in the desert heat.
Even though organisers apply special adhesives to the sand and rock surrounds, granules of sand still layer themselves on the track and cause tyres to grain.
Bahrain has rivalled F1's hottest ever race - Dallas in 1984 when it was 130 degrees Fahrenheit - before now so drivers may resort to their special flame proof cool suits worn under the normal fire resistant overalls and sometimes will wear cooled balaclavas.
Who will potentially cope with all these challenges best in Bahrain?
My money is on Fernando Alonso, the man I predicted to take the 2013 World Championship in my pre-season preview.
Some of my China predictions turned out in the wrong order but my top five were there, I was bang on with Jenson Button fifth and Kimi Raikkonen second. Lewis Hamilton, Alonso and Sebastian Vettel were slightly adrift but all in the mix which they will be again in Sakir.
Alonso is the only triple winner in Bahrain and Ferrari have great form, winning four times since the first race in 2004.
If the Spaniard can qualify towards the front as he did in China, he can demonstrate great tyre management and incisive action in the traffic aided by Ferrari strategy and a much improved car that they are developing all the time. Whilst all around him struggled to keep their tyres in the groove, Alonso maximised his rubber as the team ran shorter stints.
Behind this successful tyre management policy is Ferrari's own tyre guru Hirohide Hamashima, the former technical director of Bridgestone Motorsport, who I worked with over many years.
Backing up the central tyre plot should be Lotus and Raikkonen.
Second and third last year, Kimi nearly took the lead as he tried to pass Vettel at turn one but changed tack from inside to outside and lost the initiative.
China showed how kind their car is to tyres, as well as being a quick car, but Kimi only qualified 11th last year.
If he is closer to the front of the grid expect him to be in the hunt from the start.
Red Bull are not too harmonious at present and this lack of accord can affect all aspects of performance - which is just what their rivals are hoping for!
Realistically China witnessed a lack of straight line speed which in turn influenced their strategy of running the harder tyre first and it only produced fourth place.
While the world champion should be very competitive as last year's winner, I think third could be the outcome.
It suited the current McLaren development to go the same way, but with only two stops Button finished fifth and I think he can do the same in Bahrain, especially given his winning experience there and 'easy on tyres' ability.
Hamilton was mighty in China and I am going for him to take pole again in the podium-finishing Mercedes which has the qualifying pace but not race pace yet, something both Ross Brawn and Lewis have stated.
His third place in China, defending from the charging Vettel in the dying laps, was epic F1 action and we could see the same sort of excitement in Bahrain.
But given their current race pace I have Hamilton down for fourth.
Team mate Nico Rosberg deserves a good finish and as this track is the scene of his debut in 2006, when he set the fastest lap finishing seventh, he will want to do well.
He completes my top six with Felipe Massa seventh and Mark Webber eighth.
The Aussie incurred a three place grid penalty for hitting Jean-Eric Vergne in China to add to his woes.
Paul di Resta drove a great race in China to finish eighth.
Last year in Bahrain he led for a while as he made his tyres last on fewer stops and I think he can do that again for a top 10, as can Hulkenberg who led in China for a stint in the Sauber.
That completes my top-10 tips but please have a think about an outside bet on Daniel Ricciardo in the Toro Rosso for a top-six placing.
He scored his career-best grid position in sixth last year and has just finished seventh in China - a mighty performance from the Australian who most think will take over from Mark Webber in the Red Bull team next season.
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